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Trump-Xi Meeting on US-China Trade War: Five Possible Outcomes

The meeting between President Donald Trump and President Xi Jinping in Argentina in late November may prove to be a turning point for not only for the US-China relationship, but for global trade. Both leaders enter these discussions knowing the far more important question is whether there can be a sustainable co-existence between a Western market-driven economy with democratic ideals and a centrally-managed Chinese economy led by the Communist Party of China.

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U.S.-China “Trade War” Timeline

Unconventional Trade Warfare Since taking office, the Trump administration has been building its case against Chinese practices they view as unfair to American businesses, including subsidization of industrial production and requirements to transfer proprietary U.S. technologies. The Trump administration has also taken aim at the opaque connections between state-directed and strategic private enterprises, seeking to […]

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China’s Addiction to Intellectual Property Theft

President Trump just announced $50 billion worth of tariffs and other penalties on China for its theft of intellectual property, technology, and trade secrets. China will not change its behavior absent external pressure -- pushing back against the constant drain from Chinese IP theft is long overdue.

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Time to eat

Retaliation: Why Raising Tariffs Becomes a Food Fight

Although the steel and aluminum tariffs are promoted by the Trump administration as a strategy to seek fairness for those industries, the tariffs will incite retaliation by trading partners, imposing significant costs on large numbers of U.S. producers and consumers who have nothing to do with these industries' grievances.

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We are in a Trade War — With Ourselves

The few domestic companies that may (or may not) benefit from special treatment shouldn’t outweigh the costs for the rest of the economy.

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Critical Link: The U.S.-South Korea Security and Trade Connection

The truth about trade agreements is that they’re almost never just about trade. The United States' free trade agreement with South Korea is no exception.

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What is President Trump Thinking on Trade?

It would be a guessing game to try to predict what the president might do specifically on trade in 2018. Whatever he decides, there are trends morphing the trading system even as the U.S. Government works to figure out its role in shaping it.

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The Fall 2017 FX Report: Reading Between the Lines

Twice a year, the U.S. Treasury Department issues a report required by Congress that assesses the foreign exchange policies of our major trading partners. Our experts break down the key take-aways from the latest FX Report.

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Will the U.S. Walk Away from Binding Dispute Settlement?

If the Trump administration seeks an end to binding dispute settlement procedures, it would represent a significant departure from decades of the United States leading the global charge for making dispute settlement in trade agreements binding and enforceable.

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NAFTA 2.0 and the Art of the Deal

As the President engages with Congress, the public, and his Mexican and Canadian counterparts to renegotiate NAFTA, he may find it useful to consider his own 11-step formula for success. Step two: "Protect the downside, and the upside will take care of itself."

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